Forecast news: El Niño on the horizon?

From the Summit County Citizens Voice (Bob Berwyn):

A classic El Niño may be developing across the eastern Pacific, with warmer-than-average water temperatures starting to spread westward from the coast of South America, according to NOAA’s Climate Prediction Center.

For the month of June, the pattern of sea surface temperatures overall remained in a neutral phase, but with growing positive (warmer than average) equatorial Pacific sea surface temperature anomalies, NOAA has issued an El Niño watch, reflecting a likely emergence of of El Niño in the late summer or fall.

Ocean-wide, the warming off the coast of South America is consistent with patterns associated with the development of previous El Niños, including a weakening of low-level trade winds across the east-central equatorial Pacific. Those winds, blowing east to west, normally push the warmer waters to the west. Another sign is the weakening of the persistent pattern of enhanced convection near Papua New Guinea.

Leave a Reply

Fill in your details below or click an icon to log in:

WordPress.com Logo

You are commenting using your WordPress.com account. Log Out / Change )

Twitter picture

You are commenting using your Twitter account. Log Out / Change )

Facebook photo

You are commenting using your Facebook account. Log Out / Change )

Connecting to %s

Follow

Get every new post delivered to your Inbox.

Join 519 other followers

%d bloggers like this: